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February 6, 2003The Thing That Was France Revisitedby Trent Telenko at February 6, 2003 6:01 AM
Joe and I have a disagreement on the nature of what is happening with the French. Joe says here and here that we are just seeing another variation of the French as usual. That perhaps I am missing that the French did to themselves in 1934-40 with the 3rd Republic and what happened to the 4th Republic in the Algerian War. Chirac's German ally, Schroeder, is a dead man walking after the recent local elections in Germany, and that was known immediately after the German national election when concealed German economic data came out. Bush has made clear Saddam is going down regardless. Chirac is in a perfect position to betray both for the greater glory and economic advantage of France. Yet Chirac's foreign policy is still sincere and consistent in support for both. The French foreign minister was recently in Syria to organizing joint opposition to the American invasion of Iraq. Stealing the German’s pants is one thing. Negotiating with the Syrians is evidence of French sincerity here. Sincere? Consistent?? In a French foreign policy?!!? From Chirac!!!! What is wrong with that picture? It isn't French. Both the NRO and Steven Den Beste have been commenting on French options extensively. It has gotten to the point that Richard Pearle has all but called France the enemy. In my last go at this I pointed out there is more at stake here for the French than just Iraqi oil. That it was power in the E.U. that was up for grabs, and that thankfully has since blown up in the faces of the Franco-German "Axis of Weasels." I missed mentioning one more thing, though, the French home front and their "Cities of Darkness. I have seen the article I linked before and it was brought up again in a thread over on Little Green Footballs. Three comments, this one and this one, and this one in particular, gave me the flavor of what is going on with the people there. France is in the midst of a social break down from a collapse of elite will that is straight out of H. Beam Piper's SPACE VIKING. The thing about corrupt elites trying to remain in power is that they must be closely held and strict with their corruption or their subordinates will imitate them. As the corruption moves down the food chain the amount of damage done to society as a whole increases geometrically, if not logarithmically as the information from the lowest levels to the highest are manipulated at each hand off, for each level's best advantage. Most of the 3rd world nations, and Haiti in particular, demonstrate what happens when the power and money corruption of elites turns whole nations into a kleptocracies. What is happening with France is less a corruption about physical goods than it is a moral and spiritual corruption. Steven Den Beste has a real point when he says: ”When last I considered this I proposed the possibility that they were concealing evidence of French companies violating the sanctions and selling war matériel to Iraq and were afraid that they would be severely damaged if it came out. But at this point, given the basic apathy of French voters about that kind of thing, it would require France to be deliberately encouraging Iraq to develop nuclear weapons for that to be sufficient grave to justify this. I don't think that's what's going on any longer. I do think that there will be embarrassment after the war, but I don't think that's the motivation.” Iraqi bribes to Chirac, and French multinationals on the make, do not excite the French people. Their exposure would not be a regime ending event for the Chirac government. Yet the Chirac government still behaves as though the only thing that matters is preventing Saddam from being overthrown by the Americans. If it isn't money that is motivating the French government and it isn't power in the E.U., then what is it driving them to oppose the USA on Iraq? The answer isn't physical, it is existential. French elites abandoned religion for nationalism after the French revolution. Then they abandoned nationalism for multi-cultural, E.U. style, transnational progressivism. Now that has failed as well and they are as lost as the Wahhabbis in the modern world. The elites that govern France are using their power to hurt and cause pain. As I said before and restate now: "People who have chosen the path of damnation are easily known. They seek power above all things. They choose what will immediately benefit them over choices that take longer but reward more. And they use what power they have to hurt others, because inflicting pain is the only pleasure they have that will reach past the aching wound where their soul used to be.
Comments
Trent, they aren't acting in our interests, biut as they understand them, they are acting in theirs. The French have had an odd mixture of bureaucratic socialism and corporate capitalism since WWII, and probably before then. The key to each is the institutional nature of power, and as I've noted in some of my posts, the despotic and elitist twist which that often takes. They had their heads handed to them in several wars, and suffered horribly as a result. They have the corner on the market in world-weary pragmatism, which primarily involves focussing on not pissing off those who may harm you (also good advice for bureaucrats) and acting like it. What you're attributing to moral decay and social collapse may be simply the working-out of an ossifying bureaucracy. Much of this comes from my grad school advisor, Steve Cohen, who wrote a great book on the French 'mixed' economy; and from my first wife who is French and whose family feed fairly high off the tree over there. A.L.
#2 from Joshua Scholar at 10:53 am on Feb 06, 2003
I think you're missing their point of view. It's really simple. All you have to do to understand is give up all notions of honor. What's the cost of being with the US: What's the cost of being against the US: They don't expect to sway us or the UN or Europe... They only expect to keep their own country safe while we do all the work for them. Do they benefit from our war on terror? Absolutely. Do they benefit from being loyal and helping us with that war on terror? What's so hard to understand here?
#3 from Trent Telenko at 1:40 pm on Feb 06, 2003
A.L. The one of the first rules of politics and diplomacy is when you are in a hole, stop digging. In terms of their clash with America over Iraq, the French have just traded in a back hoe for a industrial sized strip mining steam shovel. The current course chosen by the French maximizes their own disadvantage in the short and long term. The French are destroying the U.N. to prevent its use as a tool of American diplomacy. Doing so will perminently diminish France on the world stage and make the USA actively seek to thwart French diplomacy and business interests where ever they are. We will know if the French are being driven by existential needs over needs of self-interest if they use their veto in the UN Security Council or America elects to by-pass the UNSC because French diplomacy guarentees we would lose a majority vote there without a French veto. That will be an unforgivable betrayal for American elites and future American diplomacy and national strategy will reflect this. Trent:
#5 from Trent Telenko at 5:49 pm on Feb 06, 2003
xavier, We cannot save the French from themselves. That is for the French people to work out via replacing their elites. We can only make an example of the French so others do not emulate them.
#6 from Joshua Scholar at 8:07 pm on Feb 06, 2003
I don't understand why everyone assumes that French leaders want to rule the world... I think they just want to stay elected in France. All of this talk is absolute nonsense. Trent: I'm still hopeful that the French will reform and find their moral compass. I'll be there to exhort them.
#8 from Tom Roberts at 2:15 am on Feb 07, 2003
xavier: Jacksonians don't chat and they aren't moral, they just defend their own interests. See Mead's article in http://www.nationalinterest.org/issues/58/Mead.html Another point that Mead made: US national leaders are hardly ever monochromatic, but rather blend Jacksonian, Hamiltonian, Wilsonian, and Jeffersonian motifs in varying degrees. So trying to call anyone "Wilsonian" or anything monochromatic deserves a detailed explanation.
#9 from M. Simon at 2:58 am on Feb 07, 2003
xavier: The French castigate America all the time and Americans are supposed to just shut up and take it while Frech sensabilities are just too delicate to recieve the treatment they dish out. I'll give the French some free advice on cooking: if the fire is too hot, get out of the kitchen.
#10 from Trent Telenko at 3:50 am on Feb 07, 2003
xavier said: >However, what worries me the most is the latent The Jacksonians have a code of honor that they judge others inside and outside "their tribe" by. That is hardly "shrill moralism." You are projecting your own political insecurities here. By the lights of the Jacksonian honor code, the French are the basest of betrayers, and betrayers the French most certainly are. This is the latest from David Warren on the subject: "The public transformation of Secretary Powell himself from "dove" into "hawk" is a direct consequence of his success in arguing for the involvement of the U.N. It was his bright idea, and thus President Bush left him to salvage it. At this moment, I doubt there is anyone in the Bush administration as angry with the French, in particular, as Mr. Powell is. It is widely understood that in return for the U.S. concession of a long and enervating horsetrade over Resolution 1441, the French undertook to support the U.S. decisively later on. The key date was Jan. 27th. If Hans Blix was unable to assure the Security Council that Saddam was disarming by this date -- and he wasn't -- then France would help lead the cry for action. President Chirac is believed to have given personal assurances of this to Mr. Powell, in return for specific amendments to the Resolution which the U.S. was resisting. Mr. Powell in turn assured President Bush that this difficult NATO ally would be finally onside. But the political situation changed, Mr. Chirac subsequently came to another arrangment with the German Chancellor, Gerhard Schroeder, and, to put a fine point on it, Mr. Powell was betrayed. The response to this from elsewhere in the Bush administration is much less surprised. They had a low opinion of the French to start with. The line that is now going around Washington is that of a former undersecretary of defence, who observed, "Going to war without the French is like going deerhunting without an accordion."" Not only have the French been writen off as allies. They have made it very much a vital interest of the USA to make an example of them starting foremost with the American State Department.
#11 from xavier, a french student at 7:40 pm on Feb 14, 2003
i've read every texts of your forum. and it's amazing how it's easy for you to build some proff. you just use your imagination. bye
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