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Winds of Change.NET: Dan's Winds of War: 2003-06-19
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June 19, 2003

Dan's Winds of War: 2003-06-19

by Joe Katzman at June 19, 2003 9:50 AM

JUNE 19/03: Welcome! Our goal is to give you one power-packed briefing of insights, news and trends from the global War on Terror that leaves you stimulated, informed, and occasionally amused every Tuesday & Thursday. Today's "Winds of War" is brought to you by team member Dan Darling. Dan's regular blog is Regnum Crucis.

MUST-READS

  • #1 is Dan's Special Briefing on al-Qaeda in the USA.
  • #2 is the Winds of Change.NET Special Briefing on Iran today.

    Other Topics Today Include: Arrests in Georgia, Thailand, and Bangladesh relating to the creation of a "dirty bomb" (what's that?), the arrest of the Iranian MKO leadership in France, how Jemaah Islamiyyah was built up in Southeast Asia, the US quest to rebuild Iraq, Nigerian developments, the ongoing civil war in Liberia, and Marvin the Martian joining NASA.

    IRAQ BRIEFING...

  • Two more of the Iraqi most wanted were captured by US forces, including an Ace! Which "cards" have we captured so far? The CENTCOM list. And the visual version of "Ba'ath Poker."

  • Prime Minister John Howard is stating that at least one of the Iraqi trailers is a mobile biological weapons facility. Has anyone told The Guardian yet?

  • The Pentagon is considering sending 20,000 non-US troops into Iraq after the summer to assist in the reconstruction efforts.

  • Another US soldier was killed in Iraq today, this time in Baghdad.

  • The troops are still there. So is the Winds of Change.NET consolidated directory of ways you can support the troops. American, British and Australian. Anyone out there with more information, incl. the Poles and Czechs? [updated April 1, 2003]
    THE WIDER WAR...

  • Jeff Jarvis has a moving piece about the 9/11 memorial wall at the World Trade Center site, complete with a picture and link to an online gallery.

  • Radioactive material to al-Qaeda is what candy is for young children, they just can't get enough of it. From rural Bangladesh to the capital in Thailand to a taxi cab in Georgia, rather disturbing quantities of radioactive material keep popping up, either in the hands of Islamic militants or individuals who would presumably sell it to them.

  • As has been previously noted here at Winds of Change, the French have arrested most of the Mujahideen-e-Khalq Organization's leadership, including most of the Rajavi family, which would seem to clarify the issue of where they fled after the fall of Saddam Hussein in Iraq and may add more credulity to the reports of the French issuing visas to fleeing members of the Baathist regime. So what spurred the French to act against a group that has been based out of their nation for years without incident, even after the fall of Saddam Hussein? The fact that MKO was apparently planning attacks in France, it would seem.

  • The Christian Science Monitor has a two-part piece up on how al-Qaeda helped to form Jemaah Islamiyyah as its arm in Southeast Asia and how its efforts in the region have culminated in the Bali bombing. Part 1 deals with formation of Jemaah Islamiyyah, Part 2 on how Jemaah Islamiyyah exploited ethnic tensions following the collapse of the Suharto dictatorship for its own advantage, and Part 3 deals directly with Imam Samudra and the planning of the Bali bombing.

  • Two high-ranking al-Qaeda operatives were arrested in an affluent neighborhood of Peshawar today. One is an aide to bin Laden himself, while the other appears to have overseen document forgery for the organization.

  • The head of MI5 has stated that al-Qaeda will carry out a crude WMD attack within a Western city thanks to the assistance the network has received from renegade Pakistani scientists in that particular field of expertise.

  • My "Al-Qaeda UK" piece on Winds of Change was one of the first media outlets to highlight the connections between al-Qaeda and the April 30 suicide bombing in Tel Aviv by two British nationals, but now it seems the Israelis are catching on, though they're also citing a Hamas connection to al-Qaeda as well.

  • Speaking of figuring it out, the Russians have recently come to the conclusion that the Pakistani and Chechen groups are receiving their support from the same source.

  • Northern Nigeria has always been refuge for tribal and religious barbarism, but now it seems that the US is fearing that the African nation is a target for al-Qaeda, something that AfricaPundit has been saying for awhile now.

  • LURD's deadline for Taylor to step down came and went, complete with mystical warriors. Taylor then called for cease-fire and entered into peace talks in Ghana with LURD long enough for 400 dead bodies to be recovered from the streets of Monrovia, with reports of explosions on the outskirts of the city. The peace talks predictably collapsed after LURD reinterated their main demand (that Taylor step down) and the fighting resumed.

  • We try to close on a lighter note if possible. Marvin the Martian is now part of an official NASA Mission. Cue the "earth shattering kaboom!"


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    "Dan's Winds of War: 2003-06-19"
    Tracked: June 19, 2003 8:14 AM
    THE WINDS OF WAR from Heretical Ideas
    Excerpt: If you haven't been reading Winds of Change's daily "Winds of War" feature, you've been missing out on keeping yourself well-informed about the War on Terror. In particular, you should check out today's edition, which includes links regarding al-Qaeda ...
    Tracked: June 19, 2003 8:06 PM
    Tracking Terrorists 06.19.03 from Electric Venom
    Excerpt: Today's terror-related entries are posted at the Command Post's Global War on Terror page. Be sure to also check out CP's new, expanded coverage on the Iran - North Korea - Other Hot Spots page! As always, you can find awesome terror coverage at Winds ...

    Comments
    #1 from clue at 7:54 pm on Jun 19, 2003

    Sorry, but Howard knew not what he spake:

    THE White House has undermined John Howard's claim that a trailer found in northern Iraq has been confirmed by British and US intelligence agencies as a mobile weapons laboratory.

    The White House admitted the trailer Mr Howard cited as evidence of Iraq's weapons of mass destruction was not "irrefutable" proof of the arsenal nominated as the chief reason for war.

    George W. Bush's spokesman, Ari Fleischer, said the US believed two trailers found in Iraq were mobile weapons factories but he conceded there was no certain evidence of that.

    Has anyone told Fox News yet?

    #2 from Watcher at 10:45 pm on Jun 19, 2003

    It's fairly obvious what those trucks were meant to be used for.

    #3 from clue at 11:17 pm on Jun 19, 2003

    Then surely we don't need Howard to make the case?

    Really, no matter what you're talking about you ought to be nervous when the people most confident in the answer are those the farther removed from it--Bush, Blair and Howard couldn't tell a mobile biological weapons research lab from Luluk Purwanto's Stage Bus.

    There's no proof that those trailers were used for WMD, much less have any agents been recovered there or anywhere else, and several analysts give credence to the Iraqi "hydrogen production" claim.

    You want to tell the families that this is why a soldier or so is dying every day in Iraq? Even if you can establish without doubt that these trailers could have produced biological weapons, you'll never be able to show that they did.

    #4 from Dan Darling at 12:01 am on Jun 20, 2003

    Actually, the article you cited states that Howard didn't have irrefutable evidence for his claims, which doesn't conflict with the initial blog, that Howard said that the trailers were biological weapons factories and did have evidence to support that assertion. If one truly desires to split hairs, there isn't "irrefutable evidence" that we landed on the moon.

    #5 from clue at 6:08 am on Jun 20, 2003

    If Howard isn't saying anything in stronger terms than Ari Fleisher, then it isn't news.

    Both articles put words into Howard's mouth that may not have been there, so let's hear from the man himself:

    "I have been informed as follows: that United States and United Kingdom intelligence agencies have concluded that at least one of the three vehicle trailers found in Iraq is a mobile production, biological weapons production facility."

    I'm fairly certain that the highlighted section isn't true. From what I read there's a fair amount of disagreement among intelligence analysts, with (as I noted) skepticism rising proportionally with proximity to the evidence.

    I'm not looking for irrefutable proof in the logical, a priori sense of something that just can't be rationally denied. I'd be satisfied with consensus from the analysts on the ground, but not with consensus from the heads of state alone.

    #6 from clue at 6:09 am on Jun 20, 2003

    Bad italics, bad...

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