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Andrew's Winds of War: 2004-02-16

| 7 Comments | 3 TrackBacks
Welcome! Our goal is to give you one power-packed briefing of insights, news and trends from the global War on Terror that leaves you stimulated, informed, and occasionally amused every Monday & Thursday. Today's "Winds of War" is brought to you by Andrew Olmsted of Andrew Olmsted dot com. TOP TOPICS * Insurgents launched a series of attacks on police stations, a civil defense station, and the mayor's office in Fallujah, freeing about 20 prisoners and killing at least 17. The enemy's ability to stage near-simultaneous attacks of such magnitude is a bad sign, but Wretchard notes the real news of the day: "when dying and bleeding, beset by the flower of terrorism, with pistol to set against automatic rifle and grenade, the Iraqi police did not ask for help from 82nd Airborne. They asked for ammunition." Other Topics Today Include: is the U.S. looking to cut and run in Iraq?; the troops start to rotate home; Iran has a new business plan for her nuclear reactor; American soldiers play ambassador in Iraq; nuclear proliferation blues for the U.S.
IRAQ BRIEFING * Is the U.S. looking to cut and run from Iraq? One hopes not, but when the head of the CPA(Coalition Provisional Authority) starts talking about hoping to get the UN involved to find a method of turning power over to the Iraqis, you start to fear that maybe the administration isn't as serious about Iraq as they need to be. * Iraq's neighbors have agreed not to interfere with Iraq's internal affairs, as well as attempt to tighten up their border security to prevent foreign fighters from entering Iraq. I wouldn't bet a wooden nickel on the odds they'll live up to their pledge, but it does represent a solid propaganda victory for the Coalition nonetheless. * Iraq remains a hot topic in Spain, and it may affect the upcoming elections there. Several thousand turned out across the country to protest Spain's involvement in Iraq and to demand the return of Spain's 1,300 troops from Iraq. * The troops are coming home. That's great news for the men and women who have spent a year in Iraq, but it also means a period of significant vulnerability. People getting ready to come home are prone to making errors, while incoming personnel have yet to learn the tricks of the trade. Getting through the next few months will be a critical time for the Coalition; expect the enemy to throw everything they've got at the troops. * Which "cards" have we captured so far? The CENTCOM list (credit Mike Borreli for the fix). And the visual version of "Ba'ath Poker." * The troops are still there. So is the Winds of Change.NET consolidated directory of ways you can support the troops. American, British and Australian. Anyone out there with more information, incl. the Poles and Czechs? [updated Dec. 25, 2003] * Don't forget Chief Wiggles' Toys for Iraq drive! IRAN REPORTS * Some 550 ministers have resigned from the Iranian parliament, but the hard-liners are still holding the high cards. Ayatollah Ai Khamenei informed Iran's president that elections scheduled for February 20 must go on as scheduled. * Iran is planning to go into the nuclear reactor fuel business, a process that would require them to restart their nuclear enrichment program. Iran, naturally, insists the process would be strictly for peaceful uses...sure. * U.S. soldiers in Iraq are helping improve the U.S.'s image in Iran, as they have been making an excellent impression on Iranian pilgrims in Iraq. Hat tip: Useful Fools. THE WIDER WAR * Libya's decision to renounce its nuclear weapons program is uncovering a web of nuclear smuggling that appears to lead back to China. Glenn Reynolds has more, including an amusing assessment of a Chinese intelligence problem of their own. * U.S. authorities arrested a Washington state National Guardsman who attempted to provide military technology secrets to al Qaeda. Hat tip: Instapundit. * Three people, including a U.S. soldier, were killed in Afghanistan as violence spiked in southeastern Afghanistan. It's too early to tell if this marks a new enemy offensive or just a brief spike, but it serves as a fine reminder of the problems still remaining in that troubled part of the world. Hat tip: Rantburg. * While there are plenty of concerns about new sources of nuclear proliferation, it turns out that the United States did quite a bit of work in that cause back in the 1950s, giving away highly enriched uranium to countries in exchange for promises not to develop nuclear weapons. Something tells me Pakistan won't be returning the HEU we gave them now that they have the bomb. * In what will come as no great surprise to people who have been following Europe's relationship with Israel, it looks like some of the EU's money to the Palestinian Authority may have been misappropriated. Apparently some of it may have ended up in a special account controlled by Yasser Arafat. Take a minute to recover from your shock. * We try to close on a lighter note if possible. With all the excitement about Vietnam lately, it was probably inevitable that something like this would turn up sooner or later. We can all be grateful that we can get back to the issues now. Thanks for reading! If you found something here you want to blog about yourself (and we hope you do), all we ask is that you do as we do and offer a Hat Tip hyperlink to today's "Winds of War". If you think we missed something important, use the Comments section to let us know.

3 TrackBacks

Tracked: February 16, 2004 9:50 PM
Winds of War 2/16 from Stryker Brigade News
Excerpt: Here's the latest Winds of War briefing from Winds of Change. Head on over for the latest news and analysis of the global war on terror....
Tracked: February 16, 2004 10:35 PM
blogosphere from Political Graffiti
Excerpt: ...
Tracked: February 19, 2004 11:42 PM
All the News that pits, we frint. from Who Tends the Fires
Excerpt: Fascinating. This WIRED Article was highlighted over at InstaPundit. Glenn doesn't seem to have thought about it, but long term this spells as bad news for weblogging as the online store atmosphere has been for the online graphics communities. It's...

7 Comments

"The enemy's ability to stage near-simultaneous attacks of such magnitude is a bad sign, but Wretchard notes the real news of the day: "when dying and bleeding, beset by the flower of terrorism, with pistol to set against automatic rifle and grenade, the Iraqi police did not ask for help from 82nd Airborne. They asked for ammunition."

You and Glenn and everyone portray this as good news.

Uh, sorry, I would prefer they picked up their phones and asked for help. Dead policemen everywhere -- great recruiting campaign. This speaks to great spirit, but bad training, and premature turn over of responsibility.

This was a freakin tragedy and it takes a callous and perverse individual to portray it as good news.

Actually, it takes someone with near-zero understanding of either military or police background NOT to see the point Wretchard and others are making.

First of all, ya gotta read. If they asked for ammo, they didn't do it telepathically. They WERE asking for help. And someone has to deliver that ammo to them in the middle of said firefight - gee, wonder who?

If you think about it, the 82nd has to come either way.

Which brings us to point #2: they didn't quit, and they didn't want to. Badly trained and unmotivated troops fold under those circumstances. These guys didn't. That motivation matters quite a bit. So does the taking of responsibility, a very good sign indeed.

Wretchard is likely wrong about the police there having only pistols, by the way - AKs are much more likely. These guys are more paramilitaries than police as you might understand them.

Finally, is this a tragedy? No. It's war. That's what happens in war. The question is, do the good guys have what it takes to keep going and refuse to lose it?

The only way you find that out is to see them in bad situations. Which, in any war, are certain to come eventually.

The Iraqi police were tested yesterday, sorely. I hope the U.S. Army and CPA are rethinking rapid-response plans in light of this incident, and making changes if it is possible to be more effective in future. But Wretchard is right on with his bottom line... the Iraqi police passed the test.

That IS good news, even as we mourn the dead. There will be more, bet on it. But as long as Iraqis keep stepping up, sooner or later Al-Awda will be stepping down.

To a certain extent this is also a confirmation of the sentiments in the now infamous Zarqawi memo (Whether or not it is authentic). If the extent of the tribal ties of the new police force is not exaggerated it doesn't take much of a logic leap to conclude that 100 bodies blown up in the past couple of weeks contributed substantively to Iraqi police's resolve. It also might farther explain their reluctance to ask for overt American support in what they consider a blood feud.

It looks increasingly likely to me that the Zarqawi memo was penned by a Coalition operative - the wording is just too pat.

But it's also been chillingly accurate. Best guess - the Coalition had info, probably from diverse and/or unrevealable sources, as to what was coming.

What to do, when you know but you can't say how? Well, you might as well let everyone know what's coming, and make sure they see it for what it is, its motivations and its goals. The memo was their vehicle for this.

jal17: you might want to adjust the tinfoil on your head. The government's mind control rays are getting through.

jal17:

As far as the wording goes, one possibility is that our translators got a clue™ and decided to convey more than just the basic gist of Zarqawi's message. Hence rationale as to why Western terms like "pretext" appear amidst the general rant that we've all come to know and love by now. I'm sure it sounds much more primitive and drawn-out in the original Arabic.

The best chance radical Islam has of taking over the world rests in either ASTEROIDS impacting the earth and destroying much or all of the Western world, including the USA; OR a de facto UN takeover of the hyperpower USA itself, with EUrope and Japan cowering like sheep afterwards, this latter I suspect being the REAL OBJECTIVE of the Communist Clintons and domestic/global ANTI-AMERICANISM! As long as the Clintons are around to influence the Democrats and American politics, 2004 and 2008, etal. is in reality to be about US SOCIALISM versus US CAPITALISM as the agenda for the now UNIPOLAR WORLD! Be that a sit may,THE USA IS NOT GOING TO PULL OUT OF IRAG, AFGHANISTAN, OR ANYWHERE ELSE IN THE MIDDLE EAST - THE REPUBLICANS WON'T GO FOR IT BECAUSE OF 9-11 AND CONSEQUENTIAL RIGHTEOUS INDIGNATION, AND NATIONAL AND GLOBAL SECURITY, WHEREAS DEMOCRATS -GLOBALISTS WON'T GO FOR IT BECAUSE AS FAILED LEFTISTS-SOCIALISTS-SUBSIDISTS,THEY NEED TO THE VALIDATE THE UNO AS A [SOCIALIST] GLOBAL-ORIENTED MODEL OF WORLD GOVERNANCE, PLUS THEY NEED THE SUCCESSFUL REPUBLICANS-RIGHTWING TO QUIETLY, DECEPTIVELY, AND ALTERIORILY CREATE A GOP-LED, GOP-CREATED, ERGO ONLY GOP-BLAMED, GLOBAL WELFARE-POLICE STATE FOR THEM WHICH THEY WILL LATER PC USURP AND TAKE OVER - ONLY THE THE FAILED LEFT HAS EVERYTHING TO GAIN, AND EVERYTHING TO LOSE, AGAIN, BY PULLING OUT OF IRAQ AND THE MIDDLE EAST!
Bush already knows the predom Leftmedias are NOT for him, the GOP-RIGHT, or America NO MATTER WHAT HE DOES, and that current DEMOCRAT MOVES TO ACT LIKE REPUBLICANS, QUASI-REPUBLICANS, CONSERVATIVES, OR RIGHTISTS IS ESSENTIALLY MOTIVATED TOWARD DECEPTIVELY INDUCING THE GOP AND RUGHTIST AMERICA TO ATTACK SOVEREIGN BUT PRO-TERROR OR ANTI-USA ISLAMIC-ROGUE NATIONS, IE WAGE GLOBAL [CONVENTIONAL; LIMITED NUCLEAR] LIMITED WARS, ESPECIALLY AGAINST REGIONAL ROGUE STATES LIKE NORTH KOREA AND IRAN OF SIGNIFICANT GEOPOLITICAL-MILITARY INTEREST TO ALREADY WELL-NUCLEARIZED, COMMUNIST-CONTROLLED FASCIST RUSSIA AND STILL-COMMUNIST CHINA. The GOP and American RIght's response to the currrent anti-American effort is NOT to turn isolationist and pull back from everywhere, for the Failed and Angry Left will as usual interprete such a move as a major negative point against the GOP and use for justifying 1990's Clintonism - Bush and the GOP must instead use America's global might to confront and defeat the Left! IOW, OVERWHELMING AMERICAN UNILATERALISM AND OVERWHELMING MILITARY FIREPOWER IS PRECISELY WHAT IS NEEDED AND WHAT BUSH NEEDS TO DO, IRREGARDLESS OF THE LEFT OR THE COMMUNIST CLINTONS ALTERIOR, MALICIOUS MOTIVES IN DISGUISED FOR GLOBAL- AND COMMUNIST SOCIALISM!

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